aszerW
6b59855c28
experiment(rotation): 同大类扩充与纳指vs标普替换对比实验
技术修复:
- SOCKS5代理IPv6问题:socks5:// → socks5h:// (hybrid_source.py, yfinance_source.py)
目录整理:
- scripts/ → 仅保留策略入口(daily_scheduler, run_rotation, run_cci_screener)
- 实验脚本移至 tests/experiments/
- 工具脚本移至 tests/utils/
- 实验记录新增 docs/experiments/
- results/ 添加到 gitignore
实验结果:
实验001 - 同大类扩充(添加标普500):
├─ 累计收益: 1467.35% → 1176.26% (-291%)
├─ CAGR: 48.10% → 43.82% (-4.28%)
├─ 调仓次数: 459 → 501 (+42次)
└─ 结论: 添加同大类标的不增加跨类分散,反而侵蚀收益
实验002 - 纳指vs标普替换对比:
├─ 累计收益: 1467.35% → 1118.77% (-348%)
├─ CAGR: 48.10% → 42.87% (-5.22%)
├─ Sharpe: 2.21 → 2.08 (-0.13)
├─ MaxDD: -17.33% → -15.14% (+2.18%)
└─ 结论: 纳指100优于标普500,成长风格更适合动量策略
策略建议:
- 保持纳指100作为美股大类代表
- 不添加同大类新标的(避免类内切换成本)
- 新增标的应优先考虑新大类(增加跨类分散)
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