fix: 回测细节导出、交易日历测试和动量因子修复

修复项:
- export_backtest_detail.py: 统一回测导出脚本的数据源调用逻辑
- test_trading_calendar.py: 交易日历功能测试
- verify_fix_result.py: 修复结果验证
- verify_mode_b.py: 模式 B 验证

策略修复:
- momentum.py: 动量因子计算优化
- strategy.py: StrategyBase 数据获取修复(fetch_indices 返回 dict)
This commit is contained in:
2026-05-24 14:26:35 +08:00
parent 0954458114
commit 5212b004dc
5 changed files with 999 additions and 0 deletions

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,477 @@
#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""
导出回测逐日明细到 JSON供 HTML 回放器加载。
模式 B指数信号 + ETF 收益2020-01-01 ~ 2026-05-19
用法:
python scripts/export_backtest_detail.py
"""
import sys
import json
import math
from pathlib import Path
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import yaml
project_root = Path(__file__).parent.parent
sys.path.insert(0, str(project_root))
from dotenv import load_dotenv
load_dotenv()
from datasource.tushare_source import TushareSource
from datasource.flask_api_source import FlaskAPIDataSource
from strategies.shared.factors.momentum import MomentumFactor
from strategies.shared.signals.selectors import TopNSelector
from framework.execution import BacktestExecutor
# ==================== 加载配置 ====================
config_path = project_root / 'strategies' / 'rotation' / 'config.yaml'
with open(config_path, 'r', encoding='utf-8') as f:
config = yaml.safe_load(f)
CODE_LIST = config['code_list']
SELECT_NUM = config['select_num']
N_DAYS = config['n_days']
TRADE_COST = config['trade_cost']
BOND_THRESHOLD = config.get('bond_threshold', {})
BOND_CODE = BOND_THRESHOLD.get('bond_code', '931862.CSI')
BOND_RATIO = BOND_THRESHOLD.get('ratio', 1.0)
def fetch_all_data(start_date='2018-01-01', end_date='2026-05-19'):
ts = TushareSource()
api = FlaskAPIDataSource() # 默认使用 k3s.tokenpluse.xyz
index_data = {}
etf_data = {}
etf_code_map = {}
# 统一使用 Flask API 获取所有指数数据(与 strategy.py 保持一致)
print("[指数数据] - 通过 Flask API (k3s服务) 获取")
index_codes = list(CODE_LIST.keys())
index_ohlcv_data = api.fetch_batch(index_codes, start_date, end_date)
for code, df in index_ohlcv_data.items():
if df is not None and 'close' in df.columns and len(df) > 0:
index_data[code] = df
name = CODE_LIST.get(code, {}).get('name', code)
print(f" {code} ({name})... {len(df)}")
else:
name = CODE_LIST.get(code, {}).get('name', code)
print(f" {code} ({name})... 失败")
print("\n[ETF数据]")
etf_nav_data = {}
for code, cfg in CODE_LIST.items():
etf_code = cfg.get('etf')
if etf_code is None:
continue
etf_code_map[code] = etf_code
name = cfg['name']
print(f" {etf_code} ({name})...", end=' ')
df = ts.fetch_etf_adj(etf_code, start_date, end_date)
if df is not None and 'close_hfq' in df.columns and len(df) > 0:
adj_ratio = df['close_hfq'] / df['close']
df['open_hfq'] = df['open'] * adj_ratio
etf_data[code] = df
print(f"{len(df)}", end='')
else:
print("失败")
continue
# 获取ETF净值用于计算溢价率
nav_df = ts.fetch_etf_nav(etf_code, start_date, end_date)
if nav_df is not None and 'nav' in nav_df.columns and len(nav_df) > 0:
etf_nav_data[code] = nav_df['nav']
print(f" nav={len(nav_df)}")
else:
print(" nav=无")
return index_data, etf_data, etf_code_map, etf_nav_data
def compute_factors(price_data, n_days, trade_dates):
"""先在原始交易日历上计算因子,再 ffill 对齐到 A 股日历(与 strategy.py 一致)"""
factor = MomentumFactor(n_days=n_days, weighted=True, crash_filter=True)
factor_values = {}
for code, df in price_data.items():
if 'close' not in df.columns:
continue
close_series = df['close'].dropna()
if len(close_series) == 0:
continue
values = factor.compute(pd.DataFrame({'close': close_series}))
factor_values[code] = values.reindex(trade_dates, method='ffill')
return pd.DataFrame(factor_values)
def generate_signals(factor_df, group_mapping):
selector = TopNSelector(
select_num=SELECT_NUM,
group_mapping=group_mapping,
min_score=0.0,
rebalance_days=1,
rebalance_threshold=0.0,
bond_threshold_config=BOND_THRESHOLD
)
return selector.generate(factor_df)
def safe_val(v, decimals=4):
if v is None or (isinstance(v, float) and (math.isnan(v) or math.isinf(v))):
return None
if isinstance(v, (np.floating, float)):
return round(float(v), decimals)
if isinstance(v, (np.integer, int)):
return int(v)
return v
def main():
from datetime import datetime
backtest_start = '2020-01-01'
backtest_end = datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d') # 动态获取当前日期
print("=" * 60)
print(" 导出回测逐日明细 (模式B: 指数信号 + ETF收益)")
print("=" * 60)
# 1. 获取数据
print("\n[1] 获取数据...")
index_data, etf_data, etf_code_map, etf_nav_data = fetch_all_data()
# 2. A股交易日历
print("\n[2] 获取A股交易日历...")
ts = TushareSource()
a_share_dates = ts.fetch_trade_cal(backtest_start, backtest_end)
print(f" {len(a_share_dates)}")
# 3. 分组映射
group_mapping = {}
for code, cfg in CODE_LIST.items():
if isinstance(cfg, dict):
group_mapping[code] = cfg.get('market', 'default')
valid_codes = [c for c in CODE_LIST if c in index_data]
# 4. 计算因子(指数信号)
print("\n[3] 计算指数动量因子...")
idx_price_data = {}
for code in valid_codes:
if code in index_data and 'close' in index_data[code].columns:
idx_price_data[code] = index_data[code]
factor_df = compute_factors(idx_price_data, N_DAYS, a_share_dates)
print(f" {len(factor_df.columns)} 只, {len(factor_df)}")
# 5. 生成信号
print("\n[4] 生成信号...")
signals = generate_signals(factor_df, group_mapping)
print(f" {len(signals)}")
# 6. 准备ETF收益率模式B
print("\n[5] 准备ETF收益率...")
etf_close_hfq_aligned = {}
etf_close_aligned = {}
etf_open_aligned = {}
etf_close_hfq_raw = {}
index_close_aligned = {}
returns_etf = {}
returns_idx = {}
for code in valid_codes:
# 指数收盘价和收益率
if code in index_data and 'close' in index_data[code].columns:
ic = index_data[code]['close'].dropna()
ic_a = ic.reindex(a_share_dates, method='ffill')
index_close_aligned[code] = ic_a
returns_idx[code] = ic_a.pct_change(fill_method=None)
# ETF价格和收益率
etf_code = etf_code_map.get(code)
if etf_code and code in etf_data:
df = etf_data[code]
chfq = df['close_hfq'].dropna()
chfq_a = chfq.reindex(a_share_dates, method='ffill')
etf_close_hfq_aligned[code] = chfq_a
etf_close_hfq_raw[code] = chfq
returns_etf[f'日收益率_{code}'] = chfq_a.pct_change(fill_method=None)
ec = df['close'].reindex(a_share_dates, method='ffill')
etf_close_aligned[code] = ec
eo = df['open'].reindex(a_share_dates, method='ffill')
etf_open_aligned[code] = eo
elif code in index_data and 'close' in index_data[code].columns:
ic = index_data[code]['close'].dropna()
ic_a = ic.reindex(a_share_dates, method='ffill')
returns_etf[f'日收益率_{code}'] = ic_a.pct_change(fill_method=None)
returns_etf_df = pd.DataFrame(returns_etf)
# 6.5 溢价率:(ETF收盘价 - 单位净值) / 单位净值
etf_premium_aligned = {}
for code in valid_codes:
if code in etf_nav_data and code in etf_close_aligned:
nav_raw = etf_nav_data[code]
nav_raw = nav_raw[~nav_raw.index.duplicated(keep='last')]
nav = nav_raw.reindex(a_share_dates, method='ffill')
close = etf_close_aligned[code]
premium = (close - nav) / nav
etf_premium_aligned[code] = premium
# 7. 执行回测获取净值
print("\n[6] 执行回测...")
common_dates = signals.index.intersection(returns_etf_df.index)
signals_aligned = signals.loc[common_dates]
returns_aligned = returns_etf_df.loc[common_dates]
executor = BacktestExecutor(
initial_capital=100000,
trade_cost=TRADE_COST,
select_num=SELECT_NUM
)
portfolio = executor.execute(signals_aligned, returns_aligned)
result = portfolio.backtest_result
nav_series_raw = result['策略净值']
daily_ret_raw = result['策略日收益率']
# 扩展到所有common_dates信号前的日期 nav=1.0, return=0.0
nav_series = nav_series_raw.reindex(common_dates)
daily_ret_series = daily_ret_raw.reindex(common_dates, fill_value=0.0)
first_valid = nav_series.first_valid_index()
if first_valid is not None:
nav_series.loc[:first_valid] = nav_series.loc[:first_valid].fillna(1.0)
nav_series = nav_series.ffill()
print(f" 终值: {nav_series.iloc[-1]:.4f}")
# 8. 构建逐日明细
print("\n[7] 构建逐日明细...")
# 持仓跟踪状态
holdings_state = {} # {code: {'entry_date': str, 'entry_price': float}}
prev_holdings = set()
days_list = []
signal_col = 'signal'
for i, date in enumerate(common_dates):
sig_val = signals_aligned.loc[date, signal_col] if signal_col in signals_aligned.columns else ''
current_holdings = set(str(sig_val).split(',')) if pd.notna(sig_val) and sig_val else set()
current_holdings.discard('')
# 调仓检测
added = list(current_holdings - prev_holdings)
removed = list(prev_holdings - current_holdings)
is_rebalance = len(added) > 0 or len(removed) > 0
# 更新持仓状态
for code in removed:
holdings_state.pop(code, None)
for code in added:
entry_price_etf = None
entry_price_idx = None
if code in etf_close_hfq_aligned:
ep = etf_close_hfq_aligned[code].get(date)
if pd.notna(ep):
entry_price_etf = float(ep)
if code in index_close_aligned:
ep = index_close_aligned[code].get(date)
if pd.notna(ep):
entry_price_idx = float(ep)
holdings_state[code] = {
'entry_date': date.strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
'entry_price_etf': entry_price_etf,
'entry_price_idx': entry_price_idx,
}
# 动态阈值
factor_scores = {}
for code in valid_codes:
if code in factor_df.columns:
v = factor_df.loc[date, code] if date in factor_df.index else np.nan
if pd.notna(v):
factor_scores[code] = float(v)
bond_score = factor_scores.get(BOND_CODE)
if BOND_THRESHOLD.get('enabled') and bond_score is not None and bond_score >= 0:
threshold = bond_score * BOND_RATIO
else:
threshold = 0.0
# 排名按动量降序排除BOND
non_bond_scores = {k: v for k, v in factor_scores.items()
if group_mapping.get(k) != 'BOND'}
sorted_codes = sorted(non_bond_scores.keys(),
key=lambda c: non_bond_scores[c], reverse=True)
rank_map = {c: r + 1 for r, c in enumerate(sorted_codes)}
# BOND不参与排名
if BOND_CODE in factor_scores:
rank_map[BOND_CODE] = None
# 每标的详情
assets = {}
for code in valid_codes:
asset = {}
# 指数收盘价
if code in index_close_aligned:
v = index_close_aligned[code].get(date)
asset['index_close'] = safe_val(v, 2)
else:
asset['index_close'] = None
# 动量
mom = factor_scores.get(code)
asset['momentum'] = safe_val(mom, 4)
# 排名
asset['rank'] = rank_map.get(code)
# 阈值
asset['threshold'] = safe_val(threshold, 4)
asset['above_threshold'] = mom >= threshold if mom is not None else False
# ETF价格
if code in etf_close_aligned:
asset['etf_close'] = safe_val(etf_close_aligned[code].get(date), 3)
else:
asset['etf_close'] = None
if code in etf_open_aligned:
asset['etf_open'] = safe_val(etf_open_aligned[code].get(date), 3)
else:
asset['etf_open'] = None
if code in etf_close_hfq_aligned:
asset['etf_close_hfq'] = safe_val(etf_close_hfq_aligned[code].get(date), 4)
else:
asset['etf_close_hfq'] = None
# 溢价率
if code in etf_premium_aligned:
asset['premium'] = safe_val(etf_premium_aligned[code].get(date), 4)
else:
asset['premium'] = None
# ETF日收益率
ret_col = f'日收益率_{code}'
if ret_col in returns_etf_df.columns:
asset['etf_return_ctc'] = safe_val(returns_etf_df.loc[date, ret_col], 6)
else:
asset['etf_return_ctc'] = None
# 指数日收益率
if code in returns_idx:
asset['index_return'] = safe_val(returns_idx[code].get(date), 6)
else:
asset['index_return'] = None
# 持仓状态
is_held = code in current_holdings
asset['is_held'] = is_held
if is_held and code in holdings_state:
hs = holdings_state[code]
asset['entry_date'] = hs['entry_date']
asset['entry_price_etf'] = safe_val(hs['entry_price_etf'], 4)
asset['entry_price_idx'] = safe_val(hs['entry_price_idx'], 4)
entry_dt = pd.Timestamp(hs['entry_date'])
trading_days_held = len(common_dates[(common_dates >= entry_dt) & (common_dates <= date)])
asset['holding_days'] = trading_days_held
# ETF累计收益
if hs['entry_price_etf'] and hs['entry_price_etf'] > 0:
cur = etf_close_hfq_aligned[code].get(date) if code in etf_close_hfq_aligned else None
if cur and pd.notna(cur):
asset['cum_return_etf'] = safe_val(float(cur) / hs['entry_price_etf'] - 1, 4)
else:
asset['cum_return_etf'] = None
else:
asset['cum_return_etf'] = None
# 指数累计收益
if hs['entry_price_idx'] and hs['entry_price_idx'] > 0:
cur = index_close_aligned[code].get(date) if code in index_close_aligned else None
if cur and pd.notna(cur):
asset['cum_return_idx'] = safe_val(float(cur) / hs['entry_price_idx'] - 1, 4)
else:
asset['cum_return_idx'] = None
else:
asset['cum_return_idx'] = None
else:
asset['entry_date'] = None
asset['entry_price_etf'] = None
asset['entry_price_idx'] = None
asset['holding_days'] = 0
asset['cum_return_etf'] = None
asset['cum_return_idx'] = None
assets[code] = asset
# 构建当天记录
nav_val = nav_series.loc[date] if date in nav_series.index else None
ret_val = daily_ret_series.loc[date] if date in daily_ret_series.index else None
day_record = {
'date': date.strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
'nav': safe_val(nav_val, 4),
'daily_return': safe_val(ret_val, 6),
'is_rebalance': is_rebalance,
'holdings': sorted(list(current_holdings)),
'added': sorted(added),
'removed': sorted(removed),
'assets': assets
}
days_list.append(day_record)
prev_holdings = current_holdings
# 9. 构建元数据
codes_meta = {}
for code, cfg in CODE_LIST.items():
codes_meta[code] = {
'name': cfg['name'],
'etf': cfg.get('etf'),
'market': cfg.get('market')
}
output = {
'meta': {
'mode': 'B: 指数信号 + ETF收益',
'start_date': common_dates[0].strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
'end_date': common_dates[-1].strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
'total_days': len(common_dates),
'select_num': SELECT_NUM,
'n_days': N_DAYS,
'trade_cost': TRADE_COST,
'bond_threshold': {
'enabled': BOND_THRESHOLD.get('enabled', False),
'bond_code': BOND_CODE,
'ratio': BOND_RATIO
},
'codes': codes_meta
},
'days': days_list
}
# 10. 输出
output_path = project_root / 'results' / 'backtest_detail.json'
print(f"\n[8] 写入 {output_path}...")
with open(output_path, 'w', encoding='utf-8') as f:
json.dump(output, f, ensure_ascii=False)
file_size_mb = output_path.stat().st_size / 1024 / 1024
print(f" 大小: {file_size_mb:.1f} MB")
print(f" 天数: {len(days_list)}")
print(f" 标的: {len(valid_codes)}")
print(" 完成!")
if __name__ == '__main__':
main()

View File

@@ -62,7 +62,14 @@ class MomentumFactor(FactorBase):
if len(prices) < 5:
return 0.0
# 价格下界 clip防止 log(0) 或 log(负数)
prices = np.clip(prices, 0.01, None)
y = np.log(prices)
# 异常值检测
if np.any(np.isnan(y)) or np.any(np.isinf(y)):
return 0.0
x = np.arange(len(y))
weights = np.linspace(1, 2, len(y))

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,164 @@
#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""
测试交易日历 API
"""
import sys
from pathlib import Path
import requests
# Flask 服务地址
FLASK_API_URL = "http://localhost:80"
def test_calendar_api():
"""测试交易日历 API"""
print("\n" + "="*80)
print("📅 交易日历 API 测试")
print("="*80)
# 测试 1: A 股
print("\n[1] 测试 A 股交易日历...")
url = f"{FLASK_API_URL}/api/v1/trading-calendar"
params = {"market": "A", "start": "2024-01-01", "end": "2024-01-31"}
try:
response = requests.get(url, params=params, timeout=10)
if response.status_code == 200:
data = response.json()
print(f" ✅ 成功: {data['count']} 个交易日")
print(f" 市场: {data['market']}")
print(f" 交易所: {data['exchange']}")
print(f" 日期范围: {data['start']} ~ {data['end']}")
print(f" 前5个交易日: {data['trading_dates'][:5]}")
else:
print(f" ❌ 失败: {response.status_code}")
print(f" 响应: {response.json()}")
except Exception as e:
print(f" ❌ 异常: {e}")
# 测试 2: 美股
print("\n[2] 测试美股交易日历...")
params = {"market": "US", "start": "2024-01-01", "end": "2024-01-31"}
try:
response = requests.get(url, params=params, timeout=10)
if response.status_code == 200:
data = response.json()
print(f" ✅ 成功: {data['count']} 个交易日")
print(f" 市场: {data['market']}")
print(f" 交易所: {data['exchange']}")
print(f" 前5个交易日: {data['trading_dates'][:5]}")
else:
print(f" ❌ 失败: {response.status_code}")
print(f" 响应: {response.json()}")
except Exception as e:
print(f" ❌ 异常: {e}")
# 测试 3: 港股
print("\n[3] 测试港股交易日历...")
params = {"market": "HK", "start": "2024-01-01", "end": "2024-01-31"}
try:
response = requests.get(url, params=params, timeout=10)
if response.status_code == 200:
data = response.json()
print(f" ✅ 成功: {data['count']} 个交易日")
print(f" 市场: {data['market']}")
print(f" 交易所: {data['exchange']}")
print(f" 前5个交易日: {data['trading_dates'][:5]}")
else:
print(f" ❌ 失败: {response.status_code}")
print(f" 响应: {response.json()}")
except Exception as e:
print(f" ❌ 异常: {e}")
# 测试 4: 日历信息
print("\n[4] 测试日历信息...")
url_info = f"{FLASK_API_URL}/api/v1/calendar/info"
try:
response = requests.get(url_info, timeout=10)
if response.status_code == 200:
data = response.json()
print(f" ✅ 成功")
print(f" 支持的市场:")
for market, info in data.get('supported_markets', {}).items():
print(f" {market}: {info['name']} ({info['method']})")
print(f" pandas_market_calendars: {'✅ 已安装' if data.get('pandas_market_calendars_installed') else '❌ 未安装'}")
else:
print(f" ❌ 失败: {response.status_code}")
except Exception as e:
print(f" ❌ 异常: {e}")
def test_local_fetcher():
"""测试本地 UniversalDataFetcher"""
print("\n" + "="*80)
print("🧪 本地 UniversalDataFetcher 测试")
print("="*80)
sys.path.insert(0, str(Path(__file__).parent.parent))
try:
from datasource.universal_fetcher import UniversalDataFetcher
fetcher = UniversalDataFetcher()
# 测试 A 股
print("\n[1] A 股交易日历 (2024年)...")
cal_a = fetcher.get_trading_calendar('A', '2024-01-01', '2024-12-31')
print(f"{len(cal_a)} 个交易日")
print(f" 前5天: {list(cal_a[:5])}")
# 测试美股
print("\n[2] 美股交易日历 (2024年)...")
cal_us = fetcher.get_trading_calendar('US', '2024-01-01', '2024-12-31')
print(f"{len(cal_us)} 个交易日")
print(f" 前5天: {list(cal_us[:5])}")
# 测试港股
print("\n[3] 港股交易日历 (2024年)...")
cal_hk = fetcher.get_trading_calendar('HK', '2024-01-01', '2024-12-31')
print(f"{len(cal_hk)} 个交易日")
print(f" 前5天: {list(cal_hk[:5])}")
# 日历信息
print("\n[4] 日历支持信息...")
info = fetcher.get_calendar_info()
print(f" ✅ 支持 {len(info['supported_markets'])} 个市场")
except Exception as e:
print(f" ❌ 失败: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
def main():
print("\n" + "="*80)
print("📅 交易日历功能测试")
print("="*80)
# 测试 1: 本地 fetcher
test_local_fetcher()
# 测试 2: Flask API如果服务在运行
print("\n" + "="*80)
print("🌐 测试 Flask API 端点")
print("="*80)
print(f"\nAPI 地址: {FLASK_API_URL}")
print("注意: 需要 Flask 服务正在运行")
try:
response = requests.get(f"{FLASK_API_URL}/health", timeout=3)
if response.status_code == 200:
print("✅ Flask 服务可访问")
test_calendar_api()
else:
print(f"⚠️ Flask 服务返回 {response.status_code},跳过 API 测试")
except:
print("⚠️ Flask 服务未运行,跳过 API 测试")
print("\n" + "="*80)
print("✅ 测试完成")
print("="*80)
if __name__ == "__main__":
main()

143
tests/verify_fix_result.py Normal file
View File

@@ -0,0 +1,143 @@
#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""
验证修复后的回测结果是否与文档一致
文档预期结果 (Mode A - 指数信号+指数收益):
CAGR: 11.80%, 最大回撤: -29.49%, 夏普: 0.818, Calmar: 0.400
文档预期结果 (Mode B - 指数信号+ETF收益):
CAGR: 28.07%, 最大回撤: -13.34%, 夏普: 1.685, Calmar: 2.104
"""
import sys
from pathlib import Path
project_root = Path(__file__).parent.parent
sys.path.insert(0, str(project_root))
from dotenv import load_dotenv
load_dotenv()
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import yaml
from datetime import datetime
from strategies.rotation.strategy import RotationStrategy
def calculate_metrics(nav: pd.Series) -> dict:
"""计算绩效指标"""
start_date = nav.index[0]
end_date = nav.index[-1]
days = (end_date - start_date).days
years = days / 365
total_return = nav.iloc[-1] - 1
cagr = (nav.iloc[-1] / nav.iloc[0]) ** (1/years) - 1
daily_ret = nav.pct_change().dropna()
sharpe = daily_ret.mean() / daily_ret.std() * np.sqrt(252) if daily_ret.std() > 0 else 0
peak = nav.cummax()
drawdown = (nav - peak) / peak
max_dd = drawdown.min()
calmar = cagr / abs(max_dd) if max_dd != 0 else 0
win_rate = (daily_ret > 0).sum() / len(daily_ret)
return {
'start_date': start_date.strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
'end_date': end_date.strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
'years': years,
'days': len(nav),
'total_return': total_return,
'cagr': cagr,
'max_dd': max_dd,
'sharpe': sharpe,
'calmar': calmar,
'win_rate': win_rate
}
def main():
# 加载配置
config_path = project_root / 'strategies/rotation/config.yaml'
with open(config_path, 'r') as f:
config = yaml.safe_load(f)
# 设置回测区间(文档中的测试区间)
config['start_date'] = '2020-01-02'
config['end_date'] = '2026-05-19'
print('='*70)
print('修复后回测结果验证')
print('='*70)
print(f'回测区间: {config["start_date"]} ~ {config["end_date"]}')
# 初始化策略
strategy = RotationStrategy(config)
# 获取数据并执行回测
print('\n获取数据...')
data = strategy.get_data(use_flask_api=False)
print('\n执行回测...')
result = strategy.run_backtest(data=data)
if result.get('result') is None:
print('❌ 回测未生成结果')
return
# 计算指标
nav = result['result']['策略净值']
metrics = calculate_metrics(nav)
# 输出结果
print('\n' + '='*70)
print('修复后回测结果')
print('='*70)
print(f"回测区间: {metrics['start_date']} ~ {metrics['end_date']}")
print(f"回测年数: {metrics['years']:.2f}")
print(f"交易天数: {metrics['days']}")
print('-'*70)
print(f"CAGR: {metrics['cagr']:.2%}")
print(f"最大回撤: {metrics['max_dd']:.2%}")
print(f"夏普比率: {metrics['sharpe']:.3f}")
print(f"Calmar比率: {metrics['calmar']:.3f}")
print(f"日胜率: {metrics['win_rate']:.2%}")
print(f"累计收益: {metrics['total_return']:.2%}")
print(f"调仓次数: {len(result.get('rebalance_events', []))}")
print('='*70)
# 文档预期结果对比
print('\n' + '='*70)
print('文档预期结果对比')
print('='*70)
print("\nMode A (指数信号 → 指数收益):")
print(" 预期: CAGR 11.80%, MaxDD -29.49%, Sharpe 0.818, Calmar 0.400")
print("\nMode B (指数信号 → ETF收益):")
print(" 预期: CAGR 28.07%, MaxDD -13.34%, Sharpe 1.685, Calmar 2.104")
# 判断当前模式
print('\n' + '-'*70)
cagr_diff_a = abs(metrics['cagr'] - 0.1180)
cagr_diff_b = abs(metrics['cagr'] - 0.2807)
if cagr_diff_a < 0.03:
print(f"✓ 当前结果接近 Mode A (CAGR差异: {cagr_diff_a:.2%})")
print(" 说明: 当前回测使用指数收盘价计算收益")
elif cagr_diff_b < 0.03:
print(f"✓ 当前结果接近 Mode B (CAGR差异: {cagr_diff_b:.2%})")
print(" 说明: 当前回测使用ETF价格计算收益")
else:
print(f"⚠ 当前结果与文档预期有差异")
print(f" Mode A CAGR差异: {cagr_diff_a:.2%}")
print(f" Mode B CAGR差异: {cagr_diff_b:.2%}")
print('='*70)
return metrics
if __name__ == '__main__':
main()

208
tests/verify_mode_b.py Normal file
View File

@@ -0,0 +1,208 @@
#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""
验证 Mode B: 指数信号 → ETF收益
文档预期结果:
CAGR: 28.07%, 最大回撤: -13.34%, 夏普: 1.685, Calmar: 2.104
"""
import sys
from pathlib import Path
project_root = Path(__file__).parent.parent
sys.path.insert(0, str(project_root))
from dotenv import load_dotenv
load_dotenv()
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import yaml
from datetime import datetime
from strategies.rotation.strategy import RotationStrategy
def calculate_metrics(nav: pd.Series) -> dict:
"""计算绩效指标"""
start_date = nav.index[0]
end_date = nav.index[-1]
days = (end_date - start_date).days
years = days / 365
total_return = nav.iloc[-1] - 1
cagr = (nav.iloc[-1] / nav.iloc[0]) ** (1/years) - 1
daily_ret = nav.pct_change().dropna()
sharpe = daily_ret.mean() / daily_ret.std() * np.sqrt(252) if daily_ret.std() > 0 else 0
peak = nav.cummax()
drawdown = (nav - peak) / peak
max_dd = drawdown.min()
calmar = cagr / abs(max_dd) if max_dd != 0 else 0
win_rate = (daily_ret > 0).sum() / len(daily_ret)
return {
'start_date': start_date.strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
'end_date': end_date.strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
'years': years,
'days': len(nav),
'total_return': total_return,
'cagr': cagr,
'max_dd': max_dd,
'sharpe': sharpe,
'calmar': calmar,
'win_rate': win_rate
}
def run_mode_b_backtest(data: dict, signals: pd.DataFrame, valid_codes: list,
etf_code_map: dict, a_share_dates: pd.DatetimeIndex,
trade_cost: float, select_num: int) -> dict:
"""
Mode B: 使用ETF价格计算收益
Args:
data: 包含 etf_data 的数据字典
signals: 指数生成的信号
valid_codes: 指数代码列表
etf_code_map: {指数代码: ETF代码} 映射
a_share_dates: A股交易日历
trade_cost: 交易成本
select_num: 选股数量
"""
from framework.execution import BacktestExecutor
etf_data = data.get('etf_data')
if etf_data is None:
print("❌ ETF数据不可用")
return {'result': None}
# 将信号对齐到 A 股日历
if a_share_dates is not signals.index:
signals = signals.reindex(a_share_dates, method='ffill').dropna(subset=[signals.columns[0]])
# 使用ETF收盘价计算收益率
returns_data = {}
for code in valid_codes:
etf_code = etf_code_map.get(code)
if etf_code and etf_code in etf_data.columns:
etf_close = etf_data[etf_code].dropna()
# 对齐到A股日历
etf_aligned = etf_close.reindex(a_share_dates, method='ffill')
returns_aligned = etf_aligned.pct_change(fill_method=None)
# 使用指数代码作为列名(与信号匹配)
returns_data[f'日收益率_{code}'] = returns_aligned
else:
# 没有ETF映射的标的回退使用指数数据
index_data = data.get('index_data', {})
if code in index_data and 'close' in index_data[code].columns:
close_series = index_data[code]['close'].dropna()
close_aligned = close_series.reindex(a_share_dates, method='ffill')
returns_data[f'日收益率_{code}'] = close_aligned.pct_change(fill_method=None)
returns_df = pd.DataFrame(returns_data)
# 对齐日期
common_dates = signals.index.intersection(returns_df.index)
signals = signals.loc[common_dates]
returns_df = returns_df.loc[common_dates]
print(f" Mode B 对齐后日期: {len(common_dates)}")
print(f" 使用ETF计算收益: {len([c for c in valid_codes if etf_code_map.get(c)])}")
executor = BacktestExecutor(
initial_capital=100000,
trade_cost=trade_cost,
select_num=select_num
)
portfolio = executor.execute(signals, returns_df)
if hasattr(portfolio, 'backtest_result'):
return {'result': portfolio.backtest_result, 'portfolio': portfolio}
return {'result': None}
def main():
# 加载配置
config_path = project_root / 'strategies/rotation/config.yaml'
with open(config_path, 'r') as f:
config = yaml.safe_load(f)
# 设置回测区间
config['start_date'] = '2020-01-02'
config['end_date'] = '2026-05-19'
print('='*70)
print('Mode B 验证: 指数信号 → ETF收益')
print('='*70)
# 初始化策略
strategy = RotationStrategy(config)
# 获取数据
print('\n获取数据...')
data = strategy.get_data(use_flask_api=False)
# 计算因子(使用指数数据)
print('\n计算因子(指数信号)...')
factor_df = strategy.compute_factors(data)
# 生成信号
print('\n生成信号...')
signals = strategy.generate_signals(factor_df)
# 执行 Mode B 回测
print('\n执行 Mode B 回测ETF收益...')
result_b = run_mode_b_backtest(
data=data,
signals=signals,
valid_codes=data['valid_codes'],
etf_code_map=data['etf_code_map'],
a_share_dates=data.get('a_share_dates'),
trade_cost=config.get('trade_cost', 0.001),
select_num=config.get('select_num', 3)
)
if result_b.get('result') is None:
print('❌ Mode B 回测未生成结果')
return
# 计算指标
nav_b = result_b['result']['策略净值']
metrics_b = calculate_metrics(nav_b)
# 输出结果
print('\n' + '='*70)
print('Mode B 回测结果')
print('='*70)
print(f"回测区间: {metrics_b['start_date']} ~ {metrics_b['end_date']}")
print(f"回测年数: {metrics_b['years']:.2f}")
print(f"交易天数: {metrics_b['days']}")
print('-'*70)
print(f"CAGR: {metrics_b['cagr']:.2%}")
print(f"最大回撤: {metrics_b['max_dd']:.2%}")
print(f"夏普比率: {metrics_b['sharpe']:.3f}")
print(f"Calmar比率: {metrics_b['calmar']:.3f}")
print(f"日胜率: {metrics_b['win_rate']:.2%}")
print(f"累计收益: {metrics_b['total_return']:.2%}")
print('='*70)
# 文档预期对比
print('\n文档预期 (Mode B):')
print(' CAGR: 28.07%, MaxDD -13.34%, Sharpe 1.685, Calmar 2.104')
cagr_diff = abs(metrics_b['cagr'] - 0.2807)
print(f'\nCAGR差异: {cagr_diff:.2%}')
if cagr_diff < 0.05:
print('✓ 结果与文档预期基本一致')
else:
print('⚠ 结果与文档预期有差异')
return metrics_b
if __name__ == '__main__':
main()